League Two · Matchweek 21
Barnet
BAR
Colchester United
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barnet57%
Draw22%
Colchester21%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.19
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnet get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
58%Possession50%
42%Territory35%
56%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.15
6.7%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Barnet, 4 for Colchester.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colchester
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.