League Two · Matchweek 20
York City
YOR
Crawley Town
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
York City39%
Draw26%
Crawley34%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.42
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession51%
26%Territory41%
14%From set plays42%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for York City, 3 for Crawley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.