League Two · Matchweek 20
Walsall
WAL
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Walsall55%
Draw21%
Shrewsbury24%
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.48
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.2%
- 2–26.7%
- 3–16.6%
- 2–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession55%
30%Territory40%
24%From set plays64%
0.18Chance quality0.12
7.8%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Walsall, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shrewsbury
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.