League Two · Matchweek 20
Walsall
WAL
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Walsall50%
Draw29%
Shrewsbury21%
Expected goals
1.38 – 0.83
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.5%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–012.1%
- 2–010.0%
- 0–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Walsall will have the ball; Shrewsbury will not mind.
57%Possession42%
34%Territory31%
35%From set plays35%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Walsall, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.