League Two · Matchweek 20
Swindon Town
SWI
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swindon52%
Draw23%
Tranmere24%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.29
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.3%
- 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tranmere will have the ball; Swindon will not mind.
39%Possession48%
36%Territory36%
26%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.12
8.6%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swindon, 3 for Tranmere. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.