League Two · Matchweek 20
Port Vale
POR
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Port Vale52%
Draw25%
Rotherham23%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.12
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Port Vale will have the ball; Rotherham will not mind.
53%Possession41%
33%Territory28%
46%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Port Vale, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rotherham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.