League Two · Matchweek 20
Port Vale
POR
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Port Vale37%
Draw28%
Rotherham35%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.31
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Port Vale get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession54%
35%Territory42%
34%From set plays5%
0.11Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Port Vale, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.