League Two · Matchweek 20
Grimsby Town
GRI
Barnet
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grimsby56%
Draw21%
Barnet22%
Expected goals
2.22 – 1.40
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.5%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–06.7%
- 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnet will have the ball; Grimsby will not mind.
41%Possession58%
39%Territory42%
17%From set plays56%
0.13Chance quality0.13
10.6%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grimsby, 4 for Barnet. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.