League Two · Matchweek 20
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Salford City
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crewe33%
Draw27%
Salford40%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.44
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Crewe will not mind.
49%Possession61%
32%Territory33%
33%From set plays34%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crewe, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.