League Two · Matchweek 20
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Salford City
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crewe33%
Draw28%
Salford39%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.35
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Crewe will not mind.
44%Possession55%
29%Territory32%
17%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Crewe, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.