League Two · Matchweek 20
Colchester United
COL
Fleetwood Town
FLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Colchester34%
Draw26%
Fleetwood40%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.57
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fleetwood get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession53%
35%Territory31%
32%From set plays49%
0.15Chance quality0.13
6.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Colchester, 3 for Fleetwood. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colchester
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.