League Two · Matchweek 20
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Chesterfield
CHS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Accrington39%
Draw28%
Chesterfield33%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.26
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
46%Possession66%
39%Territory46%
34%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Accrington, 3 for Chesterfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chesterfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.