Skip to content

League Two · Matchweek 19

Tranmere Rovers

TRA

York City

YOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tranmere47%
Draw28%
York City25%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.03

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–012.4%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 2–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

York City will have the ball; Tranmere will not mind.

46%Possession55%
35%Territory26%
31%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.07
8.2%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tranmere, 4 for York City. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.