League Two · Matchweek 19
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
York City
YOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tranmere31%
Draw24%
York City44%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.78
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.3%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Tranmere will not mind.
48%Possession64%
36%Territory33%
19%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.12
9.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tranmere, 3 for York City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.