League Two · Matchweek 19
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Port Vale
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shrewsbury46%
Draw25%
Port Vale29%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.30
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession53%
40%Territory33%
64%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.14
8.4%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Shrewsbury, 3 for Port Vale. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shrewsbury
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.