League Two · Matchweek 19
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Port Vale
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shrewsbury47%
Draw25%
Port Vale28%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.28
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession53%
40%Territory33%
62%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.14
8.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Shrewsbury, 3 for Port Vale. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shrewsbury
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.