League Two · Matchweek 19
Salford City
SAL
Colchester United
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford45%
Draw27%
Colchester28%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.20
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Colchester will not mind.
61%Possession52%
33%Territory34%
34%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.2%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 4 for Colchester. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.