League Two · Matchweek 19
Salford City
SAL
Colchester United
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford48%
Draw26%
Colchester26%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.19
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession50%
32%Territory35%
17%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 4 for Colchester. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salford
Colchester
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.