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League Two · Matchweek 19

Rotherham United

ROT

Walsall

WAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rotherham27%
Draw23%
Walsall50%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.97

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.6%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–17.0%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Walsall will have the ball; Rotherham will not mind.

41%Possession54%
28%Territory30%
27%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.16
6.4%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 3 for Walsall. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Rotherham

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.