League Two · Matchweek 19
Rotherham United
ROT
Walsall
WAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham33%
Draw28%
Walsall39%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.39
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Walsall get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession57%
42%Territory34%
5%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 3 for Walsall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.