League Two · Matchweek 19
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Gillingham
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oldham48%
Draw26%
Gillingham27%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.22
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Oldham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession46%
37%Territory28%
35%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.11
8.1%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oldham, 4 for Gillingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.