League Two · Matchweek 19
Crawley Town
CRA
Newport County
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crawley36%
Draw26%
Newport38%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.55
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
51%Possession39%
41%Territory31%
42%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.6%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crawley, 3 for Newport. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.