League Two · Matchweek 19
Chesterfield
CHS
Grimsby Town
GRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chesterfield32%
Draw24%
Grimsby44%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.79
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–17.0%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Grimsby will not mind.
66%Possession41%
46%Territory39%
17%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness10.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chesterfield, 3 for Grimsby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chesterfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.