League Two · Matchweek 19
Cheltenham Town
CHE
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cheltenham42%
Draw25%
Crewe33%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.45
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crewe will have the ball; Cheltenham will not mind.
39%Possession49%
26%Territory32%
34%From set plays33%
0.16Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cheltenham, 3 for Crewe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.