League Two · Matchweek 19
Cheltenham Town
CHE
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cheltenham40%
Draw27%
Crewe33%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.35
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cheltenham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession44%
29%Territory29%
46%From set plays15%
0.20Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cheltenham, 4 for Crewe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cheltenham
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.