League Two · Matchweek 18
York City
YOR
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
York City32%
Draw26%
Shrewsbury42%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.60
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession55%
26%Territory40%
17%From set plays62%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for York City, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shrewsbury
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.