League Two · Matchweek 18
York City
YOR
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
York City52%
Draw26%
Shrewsbury22%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.02
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Shrewsbury will not mind.
64%Possession42%
33%Territory31%
29%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for York City, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.