League Two · Matchweek 18
Newport County
NEW
Walsall
WAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newport30%
Draw28%
Walsall42%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.44
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Walsall will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
40%Possession57%
25%Territory34%
25%From set plays35%
0.14Chance quality0.08
8.2%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newport, 3 for Walsall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.