League Two · Matchweek 18
Newport County
NEW
Walsall
WAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newport40%
Draw24%
Walsall36%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.70
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Walsall will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
39%Possession54%
31%Territory30%
43%From set plays23%
0.11Chance quality0.16
9.7%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newport, 3 for Walsall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.