League Two · Matchweek 18
Grimsby Town
GRI
Colchester United
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grimsby65%
Draw20%
Colchester16%
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.08
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.2%
- 1–18.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Colchester will have the ball; Grimsby will not mind.
41%Possession50%
39%Territory35%
16%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.15
10.6%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grimsby, 4 for Colchester. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colchester
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.