League Two · Matchweek 18
Crawley Town
CRA
Port Vale
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crawley45%
Draw27%
Port Vale28%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.21
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Port Vale will not mind.
64%Possession49%
39%Territory35%
25%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Crawley, 3 for Port Vale. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.