League Two · Matchweek 18
Chesterfield
CHS
Exeter City
EXE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chesterfield55%
Draw26%
Exeter19%
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.87
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Exeter will not mind.
66%Possession44%
46%Territory36%
17%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.08
5.2%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chesterfield, 4 for Exeter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chesterfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.