League Two · Matchweek 18
Barnet
BAR
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barnet69%
Draw18%
Rotherham13%
Expected goals
2.45 – 1.04
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.3%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–17.8%
- 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnet will have the ball; Rotherham will not mind.
58%Possession41%
42%Territory28%
58%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Barnet, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rotherham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.