League Two · Matchweek 18
Barnet
BAR
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barnet60%
Draw21%
Rotherham19%
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.17
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–08.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnet get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession54%
40%Territory42%
28%From set plays5%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barnet, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.