League Two · Matchweek 18
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Accrington41%
Draw26%
Crewe33%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.43
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crewe will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
40%Possession49%
31%Territory32%
30%From set plays33%
0.16Chance quality0.07
8.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Accrington, 3 for Crewe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.