League Two · Matchweek 17
Walsall
WAL
Northampton Town
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Walsall58%
Draw26%
Northampton16%
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.75
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.7%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Walsall will have the ball; Northampton will not mind.
57%Possession47%
34%Territory27%
35%From set plays49%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Walsall, 4 for Northampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.