League Two · Matchweek 17
Swindon Town
SWI
Chesterfield
CHS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swindon31%
Draw26%
Chesterfield44%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.63
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Swindon will not mind.
48%Possession66%
35%Territory46%
31%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.5%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swindon, 3 for Chesterfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chesterfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.