League Two · Matchweek 17
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Cheltenham Town
CHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shrewsbury49%
Draw23%
Cheltenham27%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.45
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession51%
40%Territory29%
62%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.20
8.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Shrewsbury, 3 for Cheltenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Shrewsbury
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Cheltenham
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.