League Two · Matchweek 17
Salford City
SAL
Gillingham
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford48%
Draw26%
Gillingham26%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.15
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Gillingham will not mind.
61%Possession46%
33%Territory28%
34%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 4 for Gillingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.