League Two · Matchweek 17
Salford City
SAL
Gillingham
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford56%
Draw23%
Gillingham21%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.18
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Gillingham will not mind.
55%Possession47%
32%Territory27%
17%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 4 for Gillingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salford
Gillingham
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.