League Two · Matchweek 17
Rotherham United
ROT
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham31%
Draw24%
Oldham44%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.78
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession46%
28%Territory41%
27%From set plays37%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.4%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 3 for Oldham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rotherham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.