League Two · Matchweek 17
Rotherham United
ROT
Oldham Athletic
OLD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham36%
Draw26%
Oldham38%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.51
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Oldham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession47%
42%Territory37%
5%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 3 for Oldham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.