League Two · Matchweek 17
Port Vale
POR
Newport County
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Port Vale39%
Draw27%
Newport34%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.39
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Port Vale will have the ball; Newport will not mind.
53%Possession39%
33%Territory31%
46%From set plays43%
0.14Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Port Vale, 3 for Newport. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.