League Two · Matchweek 17
Fleetwood Town
FLE
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fleetwood50%
Draw25%
Accrington26%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.25
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fleetwood will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
51%Possession40%
36%Territory31%
36%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.16
6.8%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Fleetwood, 3 for Accrington. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.