League Two · Matchweek 17
Colchester United
COL
York City
YOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Colchester41%
Draw25%
York City34%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.47
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Colchester will not mind.
52%Possession64%
34%Territory33%
30%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Colchester, 3 for York City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.