League Two · Matchweek 17
Bristol Rovers
BRI
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol Rovers55%
Draw23%
Tranmere22%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.16
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol Rovers get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession48%
41%Territory36%
38%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.12
9.2%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bristol Rovers, 3 for Tranmere. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.