League Two · Matchweek 16
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Colchester United
COL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tranmere36%
Draw29%
Colchester35%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.25
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession50%
35%Territory35%
31%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.15
8.2%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tranmere, 4 for Colchester. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colchester
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.