League Two · Matchweek 16
Grimsby Town
GRI
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grimsby61%
Draw21%
Rotherham18%
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.10
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Grimsby get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession54%
36%Territory42%
26%From set plays5%
0.15Chance quality0.12
8.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Grimsby, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.