League Two · Matchweek 16
Crawley Town
CRA
Fleetwood Town
FLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Crawley38%
Draw27%
Fleetwood36%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.45
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 0–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Fleetwood will not mind.
64%Possession51%
39%Territory36%
25%From set plays36%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Crawley, 4 for Fleetwood.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.