League Two · Matchweek 16
Chesterfield
CHS
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chesterfield53%
Draw26%
Shrewsbury21%
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.96
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Shrewsbury will not mind.
57%Possession42%
39%Territory31%
18%From set plays35%
0.13Chance quality0.08
7.1%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chesterfield, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.