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League Two · Matchweek 16

Chesterfield

CHS

Shrewsbury Town

SHR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Chesterfield55%
Draw23%
Shrewsbury23%

Expected goals

1.99 – 1.25

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Chesterfield will have the ball; Shrewsbury will not mind.

66%Possession55%
46%Territory40%
17%From set plays62%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chesterfield, 3 for Shrewsbury. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.