League Two · Matchweek 16
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Salford City
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Accrington32%
Draw26%
Salford42%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.61
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
40%Possession61%
31%Territory33%
30%From set plays34%
0.16Chance quality0.09
8.5%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Accrington, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.