League Two · Matchweek 16
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Salford City
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Accrington42%
Draw28%
Salford30%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.17
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
46%Possession55%
39%Territory32%
34%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Accrington, 3 for Salford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.