League Two · Matchweek 15
Walsall
WAL
Barnet
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Walsall38%
Draw23%
Barnet39%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.85
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.0%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–27.3%
- 0–15.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnet get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession58%
30%Territory42%
23%From set plays58%
0.16Chance quality0.12
8.0%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Walsall, 4 for Barnet. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.