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League Two · Matchweek 15

Shrewsbury Town

SHR

Oldham Athletic

OLD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Shrewsbury45%
Draw24%
Oldham31%

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.57

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

68%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Shrewsbury will have the ball; Oldham will not mind.

55%Possession46%
40%Territory41%
62%From set plays37%
0.12Chance quality0.12
8.5%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Shrewsbury, 3 for Oldham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Shrewsbury

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.