League Two · Matchweek 15
Salford City
SAL
Northampton Town
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salford58%
Draw25%
Northampton17%
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.82
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.4%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salford will have the ball; Northampton will not mind.
61%Possession47%
33%Territory27%
34%From set plays49%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salford, 4 for Northampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.