League Two · Matchweek 15
Rotherham United
ROT
Crawley Town
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham37%
Draw26%
Crawley38%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.56
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Rotherham will not mind.
41%Possession51%
28%Territory41%
27%From set plays42%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 3 for Crawley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rotherham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.