League Two · Matchweek 15
Rotherham United
ROT
Crawley Town
CRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rotherham46%
Draw25%
Crawley29%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.36
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Crawley will have the ball; Rotherham will not mind.
54%Possession64%
42%Territory39%
5%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rotherham, 4 for Crawley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.