League Two · Matchweek 15
Rochdale
ROC
York City
YOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rochdale24%
Draw24%
York City51%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.80
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–27.9%
- 2–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Rochdale will not mind.
50%Possession64%
29%Territory33%
31%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rochdale, 3 for York City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.