League Two · Matchweek 15
Rochdale
ROC
York City
YOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rochdale34%
Draw26%
York City40%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.54
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rochdale get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession55%
26%Territory26%
38%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.07
3.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rochdale, 4 for York City.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.