League Two · Matchweek 15
Port Vale
POR
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Port Vale41%
Draw27%
Accrington32%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.32
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Port Vale will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
49%Possession40%
35%Territory31%
34%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.16
6.8%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Port Vale, 3 for Accrington. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.