League Two · Matchweek 15
Fleetwood Town
FLE
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fleetwood50%
Draw25%
Tranmere25%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.19
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fleetwood get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession48%
36%Territory36%
36%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness9.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Fleetwood, 3 for Tranmere. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.