League Two · Matchweek 15
Colchester United
COL
Gillingham
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Colchester50%
Draw25%
Gillingham25%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.23
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gillingham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession47%
35%Territory27%
27%From set plays43%
0.15Chance quality0.14
6.9%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Colchester, 4 for Gillingham.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Colchester
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Gillingham
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.