League Two · Matchweek 15
Bristol Rovers
BRI
Chesterfield
CHS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol Rovers27%
Draw26%
Chesterfield48%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.66
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.5%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Bristol Rovers will not mind.
52%Possession66%
37%Territory46%
34%From set plays17%
0.07Chance quality0.12
8.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol Rovers, 3 for Chesterfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 163 matches, not the full season.