League Two · Matchweek 15
Bristol Rovers
BRI
Chesterfield
CHS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol Rovers41%
Draw26%
Chesterfield34%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.46
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chesterfield will have the ball; Bristol Rovers will not mind.
46%Possession57%
41%Territory39%
38%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.13
9.2%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bristol Rovers, 3 for Chesterfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.