League Two · Matchweek 14
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
Cheltenham Town
CHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tranmere43%
Draw25%
Cheltenham33%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.52
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tranmere will have the ball; Cheltenham will not mind.
48%Possession39%
36%Territory26%
19%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.16
9.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tranmere, 3 for Cheltenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.