League Two · Matchweek 14
Swindon Town
SWI
Rotherham United
ROT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swindon48%
Draw25%
Rotherham28%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.35
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rotherham will have the ball; Swindon will not mind.
39%Possession54%
36%Territory42%
26%From set plays5%
0.13Chance quality0.12
8.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swindon, 3 for Rotherham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.