League Two · Matchweek 14
Shrewsbury Town
SHR
Gillingham
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Shrewsbury36%
Draw31%
Gillingham34%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.13
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–111.5%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Shrewsbury get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession46%
31%Territory28%
35%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.1%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Shrewsbury, 4 for Gillingham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.